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Electionbearish Jun 04, 2024

2024 Lok Sabha Election Results — BJP Falls Short of Majority

This is the only verified occurrence of this pattern in our historical database — treat it as a single data point, not a repeating trend.

First Occurrence Jun 2024
Latest Occurrence Jun 2024
Occurrences 1
Data Confidence 90%
56Pattern Match
Historical Similarity (30%)50
Success Rate (20%)100
Market Impact (15%)70
Company Consistency (15%)50
Sector Consistency (10%)20
Data Confidence (10%)10
CautiousHistorical Verdict🔴 Weak Pattern
3.0/5 · Moderate

Based on 1 historical Election event

Opportunity score 70/100 · 90% confidence · High risk · down trend

Historically, IT reacted positively 100% of the time (avg. +1.5%) around events like this.

View TimelineSimilar EventsCompare With Today

Historical Occurrences

1

single event

Avg. Nifty Reaction (1M)

+4.2%

across all occurrences

Historically Positive

100%

1 of 1 times

Avg. Data Confidence

90%

across occurrences

Historical Winners

HDFC Bank+4.0%
Coalition govt less likely to push PSU banking agenda
ICICI Bank+3.5%
Private sector premium in coalition govt
Infosys+2.0%
IT exports not affected by domestic politics
View History

Historical Losers

HAL-5.0%
Defence capex dependant on government continuity
RVNL-8.0%
Railway mission projects seen at risk in coalition
BHEL-6.0%
Capex uncertainty under coalition government
View History

Sector Performance

This event's sector reactions

IT
+1.5%100% of 1x
Private Banks
-3.0%0% of 1x
Defence
-8.0%0% of 1x
PSU
-12.0%0% of 1x
Railway
-15.0%0% of 1x

Pattern Recognition

Pattern recognition needs multiple occurrences of this event type — this is currently the only one recorded. Browse other patterns →

Investment Playbook

Derived from real historical data — a research framework, not a recommendation

Historical VerdictCautious
Historical Win Rate100%
Ideal Holding Period~1 Month (+4.2% avg.)
Risk LevelHigh
Pattern Match Score56%
Historical Score60/100 (3.0★)

Action Checklist

Watch IT, Private Banks, Defence for continued strength
Be cautious on Railway, PSU, Defence, Private Banks
Historical moves typically play out over 1 month
Cross-check with current market regime before acting — history is context, not certainty

Companies Involved

HALBELRVNLIRCONNTPCBHEL

Frequently Asked

← All Historical PatternsMarketRipple Historical Memory Engine

Key Takeaway

PSU stocks fall 10-20% on political uncertainty, then recover as continuity is confirmed. Private banks and IT outperform during political transitions. Volatility spike creates a buying opportunity — Nifty recovered within 3 weeks.

★ Recommended

See Historical Winners & Losers

Because knowing which companies actually gained or lost last time is the whole point of a historical pattern — not just that the market moved.

Explore Further

Research HAL

Because HAL was directly involved in this historical pattern — its current setup is worth comparing.

Research BEL

Because BEL was directly involved in this historical pattern — its current setup is worth comparing.

Research RVNL

Because RVNL was directly involved in this historical pattern — its current setup is worth comparing.

Continue Research

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Ask AI: does this pattern apply today?

Because market conditions change — an AI read on today's setup vs. this historical one adds context a static page can't.

Intelligence Path

Election→Historical Validation→Investment Decision